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A Brief Modern History of the Federal Funds Rate & Inflation

From July 1983 to September 2022, the purchasing power of the consumer dollar in the U.S. declined steadily by a total of -66.3%, to a new low. Inflation, the silent thief, steals workers’ wage increases before food can even be put on the table or gas in the vehicle.


This piece looks at two periods of inflation and the actions to combat it by the Federal Reserve’s Board of Governors. Arthur Burns and Paul Volcker oversaw most of the first period 1966 -1982 as chairs of that Board. Ben Bernanke, Janet Yellen and Jerome Powell all chaired the Board in the run up to our current inflation rate of over 8%. We will judge their actions by the effects on our economy.


Through this examination we will come to conclusions about what may happen over the coming period as the Federal Reserve under current chair Powell tries to achieve “price stability” by containing inflation.


Finally, we will explain how we have positioned investment portfolios within those conclusions.

Click to Read the Full Article

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